The United States has chosen its next president, and Donald Trump is set to take office for a second term. Democratic candidate Kamala Harris was left disappointed as Trump claimed victory with 315 electoral votes. This election, seen as one of the most consequential for America, is also expected to have significant global implications, particularly for countries like China and Iran. Regardless of whether Harris or Trump won, analysts predicted major impacts on international relations.
China
China, considered America’s largest economic rival, could face intensified tensions with Trump back in office. During his previous term, Trump initiated a trade war with China, imposing $250 billion in tariffs on Chinese imports. Earlier this year, he indicated that if re-elected, he would raise tariffs on Chinese goods by 60% to 100%. Even if a Democratic administration had won, expectations for significant changes in Biden-era tariffs were low.
Russia and Ukraine
According to CNBC, the Trump administration and some Republican leaders might be less inclined to continue extensive military aid to Ukraine, which could affect Kyiv’s capability to sustain its defense against Russia. Trump previously stated he could end the conflict in 24 hours, leading many to believe he might pressure Ukraine to negotiate by potentially halting U.S. funding. Without U.S. support, Ukraine could face substantial territorial losses. In contrast, Harris had pledged support for Ukraine “for as long as necessary,” though her statements were seen as somewhat ambiguous.
Reports suggest that even under a Harris administration, economic support for Ukraine might face challenges depending on which party dominates Congress.
Israel
A survey by the Israel Democracy Institute found that 65% of Israelis believed Trump would better serve their interests, while only 13% supported Harris. Trump once remarked, “Anyone who is Jewish, loves being Jewish, and loves Israel, but votes Democrat is foolish.” During his first term, Trump also officially recognized Jerusalem as Israel’s capital.
Harris, on the other hand, faced criticism for her perceived ambiguity regarding Israel. Although she has previously criticized Israel’s military strategy, she attempted to alter this image in August, stating that she would always stand by Israel’s right to self-defense and ensure its defense capabilities remain intact.
Iran
According to Reuters, regional and Western officials believe that Trump’s re-election could be unfavorable for Iran. Trump’s return might prompt Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu to take aggressive steps, including possible strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites—actions opposed by Biden.
If Harris had won, she might have continued Biden’s approach of de-escalation with Iran. After Israel’s recent attacks, she reportedly urged Iran to avoid retaliatory action, emphasizing the need to reduce regional tensions. Michele B. Reiss, a fellow at the Royal United Services Institute, commented that a Harris administration was unlikely to drastically change its stance, suggesting she would likely uphold Biden’s foreign policy focused on strengthening alliances and diplomatic efforts.
This election’s outcome will shape the U.S.’s stance on international matters and could lead to shifting dynamics among key global powers.
