For decades, the U.S. has stood firmly against Russia’s expansionist policies—first during the Cold War and later in Ukraine. However, since Donald Trump took office, America’s stance has shifted rapidly. Despite being in power for just a month, Trump’s camaraderie with Vladimir Putin appears strong, as if they have been allies for centuries. His recent position on Ukraine and open support for Russia have raised global concerns. Europe fears that Trump and Putin might strike a major deal over Ukraine. The growing closeness between Russia and the U.S.—whether it becomes a headache or a diplomatic boon for India—remains a critical question.
Trump’s New Policy: A Cause for Concern in Europe
According to The New York Times, Trump’s new policy signals a departure from America’s traditional allies, instead focusing on improving relations with Russia. This shift has made Europe uneasy. American and Russian officials recently met in Saudi Arabia to strengthen diplomatic and economic ties, a move that has pleased Russia. However, Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has attributed Trump’s statements to Putin’s influence. Leaders like Finland’s president believe that if the U.S. withdraws support from Ukraine, Russia may become even more aggressive.
A Weaker NATO, A Stronger Russia
According to The Economist, Trump’s policies could weaken NATO, putting Europe’s security at risk. If the U.S. steps back from its commitment to NATO allies, Russia could seize the opportunity to strengthen its grip on Eastern Europe. Additionally, Trump’s opposition to Ukraine is directly benefiting Russia, as he has already spoken about lifting sanctions and keeping Ukraine out of NATO.
India’s Neutral Stand on Ukraine
On Monday, the United Nations General Assembly approved Ukraine’s resolution demanding the immediate withdrawal of Russian troops as the war enters its third year. Out of 193 member states, 93 voted in favor, while 18 opposed the resolution. India, along with 65 other nations, abstained from voting.
India has maintained a neutral stance on the Russia-Ukraine conflict. Although India considers Russia a close ally, it has never openly supported Russia’s actions in Ukraine. Instead, India has consistently advocated for diplomatic negotiations and peaceful resolutions.
Last year, Prime Minister Narendra Modi met with both Russian President Putin in Moscow and Ukrainian President Zelensky, showing India’s interest in finding a solution to the ongoing war.
Can a U.S.-Russia Friendship Benefit India?
India and Russia have long-standing strategic and trade relations. In 2023-24, trade between the two countries reached approximately $65 billion, with expectations to hit $100 billion by 2030. Due to European sanctions, India has been buying discounted oil from Russia, benefiting its economy.
A U.S.-Russia friendship could also work in India’s favor regarding China. The U.S. and China have been at odds, with Trump recently announcing higher tariffs on Chinese goods. Even during his previous term, Trump was a vocal critic of China, blaming it for the COVID-19 pandemic and calling it the “Chinese virus.” Experts believe that closer ties between Russia and the U.S. might reduce Putin’s reliance on China, indirectly benefiting India.
Experts also argue that stable relations between the U.S. and Russia could help maintain global power balance. India could strengthen its strategic partnerships with both superpowers, opening up new opportunities in trade and defense. If the U.S. and Russia establish better relations, India could secure advanced military technology from the U.S. while continuing to receive affordable defense equipment from Russia.
Additionally, strong ties with Russia would ensure a steady supply of energy resources, especially oil and gas, while America’s cooperation could enhance India’s energy security.