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India to Have World’s Largest Muslim Population by 2050, Pew Report Triggers Stir!

by On The Dot
July 12, 2025
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India to Have World’s Largest Muslim Population by 2050, Pew Report Triggers Stir!

Between 2010 and 2020, the Muslim group emerged because the fastest-growing spiritual group globally, whereas the share of Christians on the earth’s inhabitants noticed a decline. Regardless of this dip, Christianity stays the most important faith on the earth. These findings come from a latest Pew Analysis Middle report titled “How the International Spiritual Panorama Modified from 2010 to 2020.” The report additionally forecasts that India is on monitor to change into the nation with the most important Muslim inhabitants on the earth inside the subsequent 25 years.

Document Development in Muslim Inhabitants

Based on the report, the worldwide Muslim inhabitants grew by 347 million in only one decade — greater than the mixed development of all different spiritual teams. Muslims made up 23.9% of the worldwide inhabitants in 2010, which elevated to 25.6% by 2020. This development is attributed largely to demographic components akin to excessive fertility charges and a younger age construction.

Pew’s senior demographer, Conrad Hackett, defined, “Muslims have extra births than deaths, and their common age is 24 years, in comparison with 33 years for non-Muslims.” The report additionally notes that spiritual conversion performed a negligible function on this rise.

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Asia-Pacific Leads Muslim Inhabitants Development

The very best development in Muslim inhabitants was noticed within the Asia-Pacific area, which is dwelling to the most important variety of Muslims globally. Between 2010 and 2020, the Muslim inhabitants on this area grew by 16.2%.

  • Within the Center East and North Africa, Muslims make up 94.2% of the inhabitants.
  • In Sub-Saharan Africa, Muslims represent round 33%.

Hindus: Steady Development and Low Conversion

The worldwide Hindu inhabitants grew by 12% between 2010 and 2020, aligning intently with the general world inhabitants development. In 2020, there have been 1.2 billion Hindus, making up 14.9% of the world’s inhabitants.

In India, Hindu inhabitants share barely declined — from 80% in 2010 to 79% in 2020, whereas the Muslim inhabitants elevated from 14.3% to fifteen.2%. Inside India, Muslims grew by 35.6 million throughout this era.

The report highlights that Hinduism has extraordinarily low conversion charges, and Hindu fertility charges are near the worldwide common, which contributes to the group’s demographic stability.

Christianity Declining, ‘Nones’ Rising

Christianity, regardless of rising numerically from 2.18 billion to 2.3 billion, noticed its world inhabitants share fall from 30.6% to twenty-eight.8%. This drop is essentially as a consequence of spiritual disaffiliation, particularly in Europe, North America, and Australia.

Hackett famous, “For each grownup who joins Christianity, three go away it.”

In distinction, the variety of folks figuring out as religiously unaffiliated — atheists, agnostics, or “nothing particularly” — rose by 270 million, reaching 1.9 billion in 2020, or 24.2% of the worldwide inhabitants. This makes them the second fastest-growing group after Muslims.

The Asia-Pacific area, particularly China, accounts for 78.3% of the world’s religiously unaffiliated inhabitants.

Buddhism in Decline

Amongst all main religions, Buddhism was the one one to expertise an absolute decline in numbers. The primary causes cited are the ageing inhabitants and declining delivery charges in China, which hosts the most important Buddhist inhabitants.

Hindus and Muslims: Most Steady in Phrases of Conversion

The Pew report highlights that Hindus and Muslims are probably the most secure spiritual teams in terms of spiritual switching. On common, only one in 100 adults both go away or be part of these religions, underscoring a robust retention fee and deep-rooted spiritual identification.

The Future Outlook: India on the Middle

If present developments proceed, Muslims and Christians could have near-equal numbers by 2050 — with 2.8 billion Muslims and a pair of.9 billion Christians projected globally.
By that point, India is anticipated to surpass Indonesia to change into the nation with the world’s largest Muslim inhabitants.

In the meantime, the Hindu inhabitants is anticipated to achieve 1.4 billion by 2050, nonetheless accounting for round 14.9% of the world’s inhabitants.

Why Is the Muslim Inhabitants Rising So Quickly?

Key causes behind the Muslim group’s fast development embody:

  • A youthful inhabitants: In 2010, 35% of all Muslims worldwide have been beneath the age of 15 — the very best amongst all spiritual teams.
  • A better fertility fee: Between 2015 and 2020, Muslim girls had a median of two.9 kids, in comparison with 2.2 kids for non-Muslims.
  • A big proportion of youth ensures sustained development within the coming many years.

Conclusion:
Pew Analysis Middle’s findings present an in depth glimpse into the evolving spiritual panorama of the world. For India, these developments carry important social, cultural, and political implications. Because the nation strikes in the direction of turning into a demographic epicenter for a number of faiths, understanding and managing these shifts will probably be important for concord and policymaking within the many years forward.

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